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Agilon's Model Helps Preserve Access to Primary Care

This work evaluates whether a multi-payer full-risk value-based model can help maintain access to primary care for traditional Medicare beneficiaries.

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FastHSR resource note with source citation.

Study methods

  • Design: difference-in-differences analysis of 2019-2023 claims.
  • Intervention group: 208 PCPs who adopted supported full-risk value-based care in 2022.
  • Comparison group: 3,657 similar PCPs that maintained prior payment models.
  • Eligibility: PCPs with at least 50 traditional Medicare patients in panel.
  • Primary access outcomes: new TM patients seen per year and months panels remained open.

Key findings

  • On average, VBC adopters saw 8 more new traditional Medicare patients annually than nonadopters.
  • Adopters kept panels open to new traditional Medicare patients 0.7 more months per year than nonadopters.

Method interpretation

Difference-in-differences is appropriate for evaluating pre/post adoption effects in real-world operations. As with all observational analyses, unmeasured differences may remain, but the design strengthens confidence in directional findings for access strategy and contract decisions.

Source citation

Kornitzer BS, Yao A, et al. Impact of a multi-payer full-risk model on preserving primary care access for traditional Medicare beneficiaries. Health Affairs Scholar. 2025;3(5):qxaf093. doi:10.1093/haschl/qxaf093.

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